Mayo模型 AUC为0.8328±0.0226:

1.年龄           
2.吸烟史           
3.有胸腔外癌症史(>5年)    
4.肺结节直径        mm
5.结节边缘是否有毛刺     
6.结节是否位于肺上叶     
得分:           
恶性概率:         

For example, at a threshold of 0.10, the prediction model has a sensitivity of 93% and a specificity of 47%; at a threshold of 0.40, the prediction model has a sensitivity of 51% and a specificity of 90%.

参考文献:Swensen SJ, Silverstein MD, Ilstrup DM, Schleck CD, Edell ES. The probability of malignancy in solitary pulmonary nodules. Application to small radiologically indeterminate nodules. Arch Intern Med. 1997;157(8):849-855.